Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Chronicling a Fantasy Baseball Season, Part III: Week 3 Preview

Yeah, yeah, I know. It’s Tuesday and I’m posting the preview. I’m late, I get it. I work. Get over it.

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Explosive Renteria

Carry On Heyward Son

C

Hundley

Santana

1b

Fielder

Davis

2b

Pedroia

K. Johnson

3b

Bautista

D. Wright

SS

Drew

A. Cabrera

OF

Cargo

McCuthcheon

OF

Pence

Granderson

OF

Abreu

Morrison

UTIL

Lind

Gordon

UTIL

Herrera

Sizemore

SP

Johnson

Liriano

SP

Scherzer

Gallardo

SP

Marcum

Lester

RP

Marmol

K Rod

RP

Hanrahan

Broxton

P

Chacin

Anderson

P

Pineda

Myers

P

Sanchez

Contreras

I like my lineup better than Heyward Son’s. Trambo has picked up Grady Sizemore and he played well on Monday. I still think my lineup will produce more and better numbers. Herrera is a speculative pickup to replace a struggling Travis Snider. He hits in a great hitters park and he’s getting at bats at 2b in front of Cargo and a red hot Tulo. I like the runs he could score. This will be a test run for Herrera.

Trambo’s pitching is still top notch. He’s starting 3 closers again and I haven’t saved many games, so I’d give him the edge there. I have Johnson, Marcum and Scherzer making two starts this week, so I like my chances here. I gave Pineda the nod over Hellickson this week just because of his K/9 rate. Pineda is shaping up to be a very good pick.

My Prediction: Explosive Renteria.

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Tacoby Bellsbury

Gangsta

C

Napoli

Avila

1b

Dunn

Konerko

2b

Kinsler

Beckham

3b

Inge

Prado

SS

Castro

Hanley

OF

Ellsbury

Cruz

OF

Holliday

Choo

OF

Victorino

Ichiro

UTIL

Ortiz

Tabata

UTIL

Hafner

C. Young

SP

Weaver

Verlander

SP

Hudson

Hanson

SP

Zimmerman

Gio Gonzales

RP

Papelbon

Kimbrel

RP

Farnsworth

Burnett

P

Danks

Wandy

P

Masterson

Walden

P

Harrison

Capps

Dr. Dunk is going with 4 closers, and Farnsworth is not the most reliable closer for Jacob. I like Dunk in Saves. I like Jacob in the pitching counting numbers. The thing about starting a bunch of closers is that you can put up good ratio numbers (ERA, WHIP, K/9). But if a couple of closers have a bad outing, those counting numbers go straight to shit.

At first glance, I like Gangsta’s lineup more than Bellsbury’s. But Jacob has made some acquisitions that may help him a lot. Hafner is ostensibly healthy and is producing in a red hot Cleveland lineup. Ellsbury is hot and so are the Boston bats. Castro is on fire, but Dunn is ice cold. Jose Tabata is shaping up to be a big time steal late in the draft as he is producing at a great clip right now. If he can keep it up, Gansta is going to be tough to deal with.

I’m going to pick Gangsta, but I think Bellsbury makes it close.

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Big Time Timmy Jim

Ruppert Mundys

C

Soto

Posey

1b

Gonzales

Pujols

2b

Phillips

Kendrick

3b

Young

Aramis Ramirez

SS

Alexei Ramirez

Rollins

OF

Upton

Rasmus

OF

Upton

Hunter

OF

Vlad

Gomes

UTIL

Polanco

Teixeira

UTIL

Arencebia

Francouer

SP

Halladay

Felix

SP

Billingsley

Price

SP

Garza

Drabek

RP

Perez

Sanches

RP

Cordero

Chen

P

Shields

Axford

P

E. Jackson

Wood

P

Storen

R. Ramirez

Honestly, I don’t know who Sanches and Ramirez are. And I’m not looking them up either. BobbyJ is digging deep with those two starts. Price had an outstanding start last night, but Axford and Wood sucked. It’s good to see that BobbyJ is paying attention to his team though

Big Time has a very strong team from top to bottom. Arencebia is going to forfeit some at bats when Drabek pitches, but he’s hot, so he can make up for it. BobbyJ is playing the hot hand in Francouer and Gomes. Gomes is making himself ownable in all leagues right now. He’s got a lot of power and could go for 25-30 bombs this year. I Pujols stays hot, Ruppert Mundys has shot.

Still, I like Big Time Timmy Jim.

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Lobster

Action Jackson

C

McCann

Martin

1b

Cabrera

Votto

2b

Uggla

Walker

3b

A Rod

Beltre

SS

Andrus

Bloomquist

OF

Ethier

Heyward

OF

Fuld

Stanton

OF

Byrd

Stubbs

UTIL

Ruiz

B. Roberts

UTIL

Pagan

Ibanez

SP

Bucholtz

Carpenter

SP

Garcia

Lewis

SP

Arroyo

Bumgardner

RP

Fuentes

Valverde

RP

Nunez

Soria

P

Cain

Kuroda

P

Narveson

Volquez

P

Franklin

Floyd

I actually like Lobster’s lineup this week. Cabrera is as good as it gets. A Rod is smoking hot. Uggla needs to pick it up, but if Ethier and Fuld can stay hot, Lobster has a shot in hitting categories this week.

This is a matchup of overmatched pitching staffs. There’s not a standout fantasy ace on either team.

I’m going to go out on a limb and pick Loster this week.

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Purple Tigers

Wuertz Case Scenario

C

Posada

VMart

1b

Butler

Morneau

2b

Cano

Espinosa

3b

Chipper

Valencia

SS

Reyes

Tulo

OF

Bruce

Kemp

OF

D. Young

Markakis

OF

Huff

Beltran

UTIL

Escobar

Span

UTIL

A. Soriano

Murphy

SP

Kershaw

Hamels

SP

Ubaldo

D. Hudson

SP

Nolasco

Wilson

RP

Feliz

Bell

RP

Putz

Stauffer

P

Zambrano

Burnette

P

Lowe

E. Santana

P

Jurrjens

Latos

Tulo and Kemp. That’s a hell of a start. Emerson is taking the reverse approach to Dr. Dunk and starting a starter in his RP slot. This gives him the edge in counting numbers. Plus, Stauffer and Wilson had good starts last night. Santana didn’t. Zambrano was awesome, vintage Zambrano last night tossing 8 shutout innings and striking out 10. Ubaldo is coming off the DL tonight and if some time off did for his arm what a couple days off did for Aroldis Chapman’s arm, then Brandonwood is going to like the results.

It’s hard not to give the hitting edge to Emerson with Tulo and Kemp in his lineup and both red hot. But, the Purple Tigers’ lineup is pretty solid up and down. If Escobar stays hot, the Purple Tigers have a shot.

Nevertheless, I’m picking Wuertz Case Scenario. I learned my lesson last week.

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Haveyouseenmywiener

Let Timmy Smoke

C

Montero

Buck

1b

LaRoche

Howard

2b

Weeks

F. Sanchez

3b

Headley

Sandoval

SS

Desmond

A. Sanchez

OF

Crawford

Braun

OF

Bourn

Werth

OF

Quentin

Berkman

UTIL

Youkilis

Tejada

UTIL

Rios

Reynolds

SP

Lee

Lincecum

SP

Sabathia

Haren

SP

Wolf

Lilly

RP

Venters

Street

RP

McClellen

Wilson

P

Rivera

Cahill

P

Oswalt

Romero

P

Lyon

Chapman

Walter will win steals.

Walter is starting 3 closers, but Thriller has Brian Wilson. Advantage: Push. I like Thriller’s staff better than Walter’s. Lincecum was damn near unhittable last night carrying a no-no into the 7th and getting the W, but Romero gave away that advantage with shitty outing. Both will get 2 starts this week, so it’s hard not to pick Let Timmy Smoke for the counting stats.

With Crawford still hitting below the Mendoza line, and Berkman on a tear, it’s hard not to like Let Timmy Smoke’s lineup better. But, Berkman will come back to earth and Crawford will start hitting, it’s just a question of when. Youkilis is starting to heat up with a couple HRs in the last couple days. Angel Sanchez will provide Thriller some AVG, but he doesn’t run much, nor does he have any pop.

Let Timmy Smoke is off to a 10-1 lead as of yesterday, but haveyouseenmywiener will close that gap pretty quick. Still, with the counting number advantage from Thriller’s 2 two start pitchers (one of which is arguably the best pitcher in the game), I have to favor Let Timmy Smoke.

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