Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Chronicling a Fantasy Baseball Season, Part II: The Draft

Before we started the draft, we all decided that this would be a keeper league. We will keep four players off of this year’s team for next year.

ROUND 1

1

BobbyJ

Pujols – No shocker here.

2

Flynner

Votto – A bit of a surprise that he didn’t take one of the elite shortstops with the second pick, but it’s hard to argue with Votto’s numbers.

3

Lobster

Cabrera – Maybe Lobster was as drunk as Miggy. Miggy’s power and average numbers are hard to beat, though.

4

Thriller

Braun – My God, when is someone going to take Hanley or Tulo? Still, Braun is a solid selection.

5

Dr. Dunk

Hanley – Finally.

6

Emerson

Tulo – Dammit! I’m next and I was hoping Tulo would fall to 7.

7

Me

Carlos Gonzales – I hope that he duplicates his numbers from last year. Not the safest pick, but he’s #2 on my board, so I can’t pass him up. Power, Speed and Average and he plays 82 games at Coors Field. Gotta get him.

8

Walter

Crawford – Solid. You’ll see that Walter’s team will steal some bases.

9

Brandonwood

Cano – Power and Average at 2B is hard to beat, especially in that Yankee lineup.

10

Jacob

Longo – Poised for a big year, I think. I like getting the top rated 3B in the game because that position is fairly scarce.

11

Charlie

Adrian Gonzaes – He’s hoping that Fenway will bring more homers than PetCo Park for the big lefty.

12

Trambo

David Wright – Assuming he hits for some power (not circa 2009), Wright is as good an all around fantasy contributor as there is.


ROUND 2

13

Trambo

Josh Hamilton – Great get.

14

Charlie

Halladay – The first P taken and the best P available. Chalk him up for 200+ innings, 200+ Ks, low ERA, low WHIP and lots of W’s.

15

Jacob

Holliday – Holliday is an across the board contributor.

16

Brandonwood

Zimmerman – Best 3B available at a fairly scarce position.

17

Walter

Youk – 1B, 3B eligibility. Lots of runs, solid HR, RBI and Average. With the walks he takes, his OPS will play well for Walter.

18

Me

Fielder – 1B’s are falling fast and I want a good one. Fielder is in a contract year and will hit for a higher average this year I hope-he’s better than .260. Plus, in a down year, he still hit 30+ HRs. Maybe I should have taken Teixeira, but I like Fielder more this year. Hopefully he’ll pay off.

19

Emerson

Kemp – With a slight bump in Average, Emerson is getting first round value with this pick.

20

Dr. Dunk

Neson Cruz – If his hamstrings are healthy, Cruz is a fantasy stud. 30/20 guy.

21

Thriller

Lincecum – Thriller loves him some Giants, plus he needs Timmy on his team.

22

Lobster

ARod – Gotta have a good 3B. I doubt he’ll run too much this year in order to preserve himself, but he’s tearing it up in Spring Training.

23

Flynner

Mauer – Flynner really wanted a catcher I guess. Maybe Mauer’s 2009 power will return, otherwise…

24

BobbyJ

Teixeira – Can’t argue with this. I thought about taking him 6 picks ago.


ROUND 3

25

BobbyJ

F. Hernadez – The King. Nice Anchor to the rotation.

26

Flynner

A. Beltre – Solid 3B. Hopefully he puts numbers like he’s in a contract year

27

Lobster

Uggla – Could be great in Atlanta. For Lobster’s sake, let’s hope so.

28

Thriller

Ryan Howard – Big time power. Hopefully his age doesn’t catch up with him.

29

Dr. Dunk

Choo – 20/20 is a lock. 30/30 not out of the realm of possibilities.

30

Emerson

Morneau – Modern medicine will prevail upon his concussion at some point and he'll produce.

31

Me

Pedroia – I like Pedroia and I like having a good 2B. If healthy, he has very good numbers, especially in that lineup this year.

32

Walter

Cliff Lee – A good fantasy Ace. Low WHIP, plenty of K’s.

33

Brandonwood

Jose Reyes – Speed at a scarce position.

34

Jacob

Kinsler – When he’s healthy, he may be the best 2B option out there.

35

Charlie

B. Phillips – 20/20 is in play.

36

Trambo

McCutchen – This guy is a beast, possible 30/30 and maybe this year’s Carlos Gonzales. This is a keeper league, mind you.


ROUND 4

37

Trambo

Lester – Top Pitcher on my board. A definite Cy Young candidate with that offense behind him.

38

Charlie

J. Upton – Man, if he can put it all together, he could hit 40 bombs and steal 30 bases, maybe 40/40. He's young and this is a keeper league.

39

Jacob

Dunn – Big time power.

40

Brandonwood

Kershaw – Nasty left handed curveball and gaining experience. He could be the best lefty in baseball.

41

Walter

Sabbathia – Solid and reliable.

42

Me

Bautista – Yeah, I know 50+ HRs is not likely to happen again, but I’ll take the power at this position even if he drops off by 20 HRs.

43

Emerson

Utley – Will he play before the All Star break?

44

Dr. Dunk

Ichiro – .300 average is a given. Hopefully he’ll still run and score runs.

45

Thriller

Werth – Good power and speed. I like Werth. Plus, Thriller needed a good beard on his team.

46

Lobster

Ethier – Upside 35 HRs. Downside 25 HRs. That’s good production.

47

Flynner

Heyward – A star in the making and really good right now. Maybe he could be a little more aggressive at the plate, but this kid is gonna be great. Keeper league.

48

BobbyJ

J. Rollins – He’s in decline. When he plays, he’s not as good as he used to be. When he doesn’t, he’s worthless. Still, the upside for some power and lots of speed is undeniable at this scarce position.


ROUND 5

49

BobbyJ

Posey – Best young Catcher in the game.

50

Flynner

Carpenter – He’s getting old and doesn’t strike out too many anymore. I’d rather have young pitching, but his production is always there…so are the health risks.

51

Lobster

McCann – Solid Catcher. I like him later in the draft.

52

Thriller

Jeter – Maybe he’ll be better at age 95 than he was at age 94. If he produces like he did in 2009, this is a great pick. If he produces like he did in 2010, it's just an OK pick.

53

Dr. Dunk

Verlander – Sit back and enjoy a great year from this guy. He generally starts slow, but he’s made some adjustments this year. He’s a good one.

54

Emerson

V. Martinez – Dammit Emerson! I love VMart. He’ll be better than McCann and will not have to catch all the time in Detroit.

55

Me

Pence – 20/20 guy. Underrated. Maybe he can bump that average a little this year.

56

Walter

Rios – Maybe I should have taken Rios. He could easily be 20/30 and is hitting in a great lineup.

57

Brandonwood

Ubaldo – He throws 95 like I throw rocks, very easy. Explosive stuff; just waiting for him to have a complete year.

58

Jacob

Ellsbury – Of course he did. Well, he'll steal lots of bases and Adrian Beltre isn't there to break his ribs again this year.

59

Charlie

M. Young – Solid average, can play anywhere. Useful pick.

60

Trambo

C. Santana – Behind Posey as the best C in the game. He walks a lot, which will help his OPS.


ROUND 6

61

Trambo

K. Morales – He’s hurt. In fairness, though, this was an auto pick.

62

Charlie

BJ Upton – Will steal 45 bases. Will he do anything else? Nice work creating a monopoly on Uptons, though, Charlie.

63

Jacob

Victorino – Good speed. Will contribute some power.

64

Brandonwood

Jay Bruce – This may be the year he puts it all together. Remember he’s just 22.

65

Walter

Weeks – Power and speed at 2B? Yes, please.

66

Me

Josh Johnson – When he’s healthy, he is unhittable. With a little run support this year, I can see him being a top 3 fantasy pitcher. I’ll take that upside all day everyday in round 6.

67

Emerson

Hamels – Sneaky good K/9. He’s for real.

68

Dr. Dunk

T. Hanson – If the Braves would have scored him some runs last year in the second half, he would have been a top 10 P.

69

Thriller

Haren – Very consistent, but his K/9 has fallen each of the last 2 years.

70

Lobster

Elvis Andrus – Speed? Yes. Maybe he hits .280. Could have waited and gotten him later. A lot later.

71

Flynner

Stanton – Flynner chiming in with the second of my top 2 keepers. Stanton has 45 HR potential and you may see it this year.

72

BobbyJ

D. Price – The only drawback is the number of times he plays the Red Sox and the Yankees. But, he always pitches pretty well against them. Coupled with King Felix, BobbyJ has a very good one-two punch.

ROUND 7

73

BobbyJ

Aramis Ramirez – Due for a bounce back year.

74

Flynner

Grienke – When he gets over his rib fracture, he’ll dominate the NL Central. Hopefully he’s more durable than Ellsbury. Good 7th round value though.

75

Lobster

Matt Cain – Again, I think Lobster acted a bit prematurely. Cain is good, but he’s 10th round good.

76

Thriller

P. Sandoval – He’s slimmer and due for a bounce back year. Plus, he plays for the Giants.

77

Dr. Dunk

Prado – Multi position eligibility makes him a valuable fantasy asset.

78

Emerson

Pedro Alvarez – Best (really) young 3B in the game right now. Big time power enhances his value. So does hitting behind Tabata and McCutcheon.

79

Me

Scherzer – Not many were better than Scherzer in the 2nd half last year. His stuff is filthy and if he pitches the way he did after being sent down last year, he has big time K/9 potential.

80

Walter

Oswalt – Steady as steady goes.

81

Brandonwood

Billy Butler – Will hit .300. Will hit 20 bombs. Will drive in close to 100 runs. He’s solid.

82

Jacob

J. Weaver – Good K/9; good stuff. I have him ranked just below Scherzer this year and strongly considered taking him instead.

83

Charlie

Alexei Ramirez – Could go 15/20 at SS.

84

Trambo

Liriano – He has electric stuff. Has potential to be a top 10 P. Good value here, I think.


ROUND 8

85

Trambo

Gallardo – Trambo’s staff is starting to look good. Gallardo is the Opening Day Starter with Greinke on the DL.

86

Charlie

Billingsley – Let him put a whole season together and see if you don’t like him.

87

Jacob

Papelbon – First closer taken and its Pap. He’ll get his chances, but I worry about the decline in his fastball.

88

Brandonwood

Neftali Feliz – Remember what I said about Ubaldo? Feliz does the same thing, only he throws upper 90s. Hopefully the Rangers will keep him as the Closer all year and not pull a Joba with him.

89

Walter

Mcgehee – 2010 proved 2009 wasn’t a fluke. This guy can rake.

90

Me

Marmol – We play in a K/9 league. Marmol strikes out everyone he faces and can carry a staff with his K/9 ratio. I like to have one really good closer. Aside from having to pull for the Cubs to win, I really like Marmol.

91

Emerson

Latos – He should only miss one start as he opens the year on the DL.

92

Dr. Dunk

Chris Young – The Outfielder. He is starting to make more contact and his power/speed combination is undeniable. A potential monster pick in the 8th round.

93

Thriller

B. Wilson – Another Giant, eh? I worry about his back. Thriller now has the two best beards in baseball.

94

Lobster

C. Bucholtz – Maybe the best changeup in the game. He just doesn’t strike people out. At least he hasn’t yet.

95

Flynner

D. Stubbs – Potential 30/30 guy. A lot like Mike Cameron used to be, great power, great speed, not so great average. In this round, though, I really like the pick.

96

BobbyJ

C. Rasmus – This may be the year for Colby. Apparently he didn’t see eye to eye with Tony LaRussa for portions of the season last year. That is no longer a distraction. Like Stubbs, he has 30/20 or 30/30 potential with some more upside in the average department. He just needs a spot in the batting order.


ROUND 9

97

BobbyJ

T. Hunter – Old but solid. .270 and 20+ HRs is a lock.

98

Flynner

Soria – If KC can win any games, Soria can close them out.

99

Lobster

A. Pagan – Lobster, you could have gotten this guy and his 30 steals and 10 HRs five rounds later.

100

Thriller

K. Johnson – Power at 2B? Kelly will give you that. But, he’s not a Giant…

101

Dr. Dunk

P. Konerko – If he can duplicate his 2010, he’s a beast.

102

Emerson

H. Bell – Great closer. Can’t argue with this one.

103

Me

S. Drew – Did you know Drew is one of the fastest players in the game? From looking at his SB numbers you wouldn’t, but he actually is. New Manager, Kurt Gibson is going to let him run more this year. I can see 15/15, maybe even 20/20, from my SS and I’ll take that.

104

Walter

Mariano Rivera – Steadiest closer in the game.

105

Brandonwood

J. Bay – Citi Field may sap some of his power, but he’s awesome when he’s healthy. Remember he was 30/30 just a couple years ago.

106

Jacob

Zobrist – Can play 2B. Hopefully he has a 2009-esque year. If so, a steal in round 9.

107

Charlie

G. Soto – Best OPS of any C in baseball in 2010.

108

Trambo

Granderson – 20 HRs, 20 SBs, 20 doubles and 20 triples. Has anybody else on this board ever done that? Nope.


ROUND 10

109

Trambo

K Rod – A good closer with age concerns and also problems with the law. Still, when he’s playing, he’s good.

110

Charlie

C. Hart – 20/20 type of guy. Watch out for injuries though.

111

Jacob

S. Castro – This one is a head scratcher. Castro is going to be a good SS. He’s just not going to contribute that much this year. It’s a keeper league, though, so hopefully Castro will hit .300 again and maybe start to run a little bit to recover some value for Jacob.

112

Brandonwood

D. Young – It’s easy to forget that this guy is 25 years old. He’s really just starting to realize his potential. I think his ceiling is about what he did last year, .298/21/112, but that’s pretty damn good. He may get to 25 HRs and he may steal 10 bags, too.

113

Walter

Bourn – Walter gets some more speed to go along with Crawford.

114

Me

S. Marcum – I’m not worried about his shoulder and neither is he. He pitched very well in the AL East and now moves to the NL Central. Good things are ahead for Marcum…I hope.

115

Emerson

Thornton – He’s gonna be the ChiSox closer and he’s got good stuff.

116

Dr. Dunk

Wandy Rodriguez – 1st half Wandy is not that good. 2nd half Wandy is great. Despite a bad first half, Wandy got to a 3.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 178 Ks last year. Look at his stats for the last three years and see if you see a trend. Hint: you will, they look a lot like last year’s and that’s not bad, especially in the 10th round.

117

Thriller

Rajai Davis – Thriller gets him some speed to go with the Kung Fu Panda.

118

Lobster

R. Soriano – He’s not closing. Rivera is not hurt. In the 10th round, this is a bad speculative pick. In the 20th round, OK.

119

Flynner

B. Roberts – Bad backs scare me, but Roberts will be hitting atop a revamped lineup that will have some pop. He should run and score plenty of runs. I like getting him here.

120

BobbyJ

P. Hughes – Opposite of Wandy without the track record, but with more potential.

ROUND 11

121

BobbyJ

Demster – Solid pick, not a sexy pick and he strikes people out.

122

Flynner

C. Lewis – See Comments on Dempster.

123

Lobster

M. Ordonez – May contribute in average and potentially RBI, otherwise, he's useless. Rounds 10 and 11 have not been good to Lobster.

124

Thriller

Lilly – Will be pitching in Dodger Stadium and will strike people out. He’ll have really good numbers this year. Good sleeper pick.

125

Dr. Dunk

Adam Jones – He’s not Pac Man. He’s hit 19 HRs in each of the last two years and is poised for a breakout year. I really wanted him in this round.

126

Emerson

Markakis – Probably the best all around contributor left on the board. I would have taken Jones for his upside before Markakis, but I wanted one of the two and these two jerks took them both.

127

Me

Adam Lind – Let’s get back to 2009 Adam Lind, not 2010 Adam Lind. I like .305/35/114 better than .237/23/72. Also, I think he’s the type of player that is closer to 2009 than 2010. Hope I’m right.

128

Walter

Ian Desmond – Good young SS. Needs some plate discipline, but has upside.

129

Brandonwood

Huff – Other than speed, he’ll put up solid numbers. The question is, when will he give way to Brandon Belt?

130

Jacob

Napoli – He hits bombs. If the Rangers get him some ABs, he’ll be a good source of power from behind the plate.

131

Charlie

Garza – A move out of the AL East and into the NL Central is a good thing for fantasy value, but Garza is a fly ball pitcher in Wrigley Field. Beware of the long ball.

132

Trambo

Broxton – When his head is right, he’s a very valuable, almost dominant closer.


ROUND 12

133

Trambo

B. Anderson – Lots of value in this 12th round pick.

134

Charlie

C. Perez – If the Indians win any games, he’ll close them out.

135

Jacob

T. Hudson – Elite ERA, great pitcher, but he doesn’t get a lot of Ks. I really like Huddy, but I’d rather have him on my real team than my fantasy team.

136

Brandonwood

Cuddyer – Versatile and solid.

137

Walter

M. Montero – This guy could hit .300 this year and he's a catcher. 15 HRs is also conceivable.

138

Me

Hellickson – Keeper league. I think Hell Boy is the best rookie pitcher in the game…right now.

139

Emerson

Carlos Lee – .314/28/100, .300/26/102, .246/24/89. Lee’s stat lines from the past 3 years. The obvious outlier is his average from last year. He may not get back up to .300, but I think he’ll be closer to it than he will be to .246 this year.

140

Dr. Dunk

J. Nathan – He’s dominant if his arm is healthy.

141

Thriller

B. Gardner – Some speed to go with Rajai. Still, not a Giant...

142

Lobster

C. Ruiz – Like Tim Hudson, I would rather have this guy on my team than my fantasy team.

143

Flynner

H. Kuroda – If he puts up a sub 3.50 ERA and a sub 1.20 WHIP again this year, he should win more than 11 games.

144

BobbyJ

J. Axford – He closes and he strikes people out. That’s what you want out of the guy. Plus, he has the best 'stache in the game.


ROUND 13

145

BobbyJ

A. Hill – His .205 average from last year was mostly the result of being extremely unlucky as he had a sub .200 BABIP. He may not get back to the .280 range from 2009, but I think he’ll stay around .255-.265 to go along with 30 HR potential. Out of your 2B, that’s pretty damn good.

146

Flynner

Furcal – Health is an issue. Ability is not.

147

Lobster

M. Beuhrle – See Tim Hudson.

148

Thriller

H. Street – Solid closer, but will be on the either the hot seat or the DL or both some time this year.

149

Dr. Dunk

Beckham – Upside out the wazoo.

150

Emerson

D. Hudson – Will he repeat his blistering 2nd half from last year? No. Is he a great value in the 13th round? Yes.

151

Me

J. Sanchez – Sticking with my K/9 fetish. Sanchez has great stuff. When he gets it over the plate, he can be unhittable (literally. Just ask the Padres). Glad I got him before Thriller.

152

Walter

J. Pierre – More speed for Walter.

153

Brandonwood

Figgins – A little speed for Brandonwood.

154

Jacob

Danks – Good value pick in the 13th.

155

Charlie

Vlad – He’s old. He swings at too many balls. He’ll put up exceptional numbers. This guy has always defied logic. I wouldn’t be shocked if he stole 10 bags.

156

Trambo

N. Swisher – 29 HRs each of the last 2 years. Last year he did it with a .288 average.


ROUND 14

157

Trambo

B. Myers – 2010: 223 innings, 3.14 ERA.

158

Charlie

F. Cordero – See Houston Street. He has a guy behind him who throws 106mph.

159

Jacob

D. Ortiz – Papi has an unbelievable lineup around him. Put up with a slow start, enjoy a solid finish.

160

Brandonwood

J.J. Putz – Closer with job security who struck more than 10 per 9 last year. What’s not to like?

161

Walter

A. Laroche -- .260+, 25 HRs, 85 RBI every year (100 RBI last year). Those are numbers you can count on.

162

Me

B. Abreu – Name one guy on this list who has hit 15 HRs and stolen 20 bags in each of the last 10 years. There’s not one. Add in the fact that he drives in some runs, too and there’s a lot to like about Bobby…though not his age.

163

Emerson

Sean Rodriguez – He could be good if he gets a chance to play. Not a good pick in this round as he’ll likely be fighting for at bats all year.

164

Dr. Dunk

Gio Gonzales – He needs to improve his WHIP a little, but there’s a lot to like about this guy.

165

Thriller

M. Reynolds – He can mash. He can also miss. A lot. He is who he is and he ain’t bad. 35 HRs is definitely in the cards for him in Baltimore.

166

Lobster

T. Helton – He’s a VFL and I love him. He is not a good fantasy pick anymore.

167

Flynner

Bumgardner – Keeper league. The guy is good too.

168

BobbyJ

A. Bailey – I worry about his elbow. He’s already been to see Dr. James Andrews once this Spring.


ROUND 15

169

BobbyJ

A. Escobar – He’ll get a chance to run a lot in KC.

170

Flynner

J. Valverde – Somebody has to close.

171

Lobster

R. Franklin – See J. Valverde.

172

Thriller

T. Cahill – I think this is a great value pick. Watch his K’s go up this year.

173

Dr. Dunk

F. Francisco – He’s the closer in Toronto. For now.

174

Emerson

Carlos Beltran – He’s set to play in game 1. He’s in a contract year with something to prove. He’s super talented. These are good things. He is uber injury prone. This is a bad thing.

175

Me

Matt Wieters – He may suck again. He may live up to the hype. I hope for the latter.

176

Walter

C. Quentin – Some power to go along with the speed on Walter's team.

177

Brandonwood

R. Nolasco – When he’s on, he’s dominant. When he’s off, he’s in the minors. This could very well be the year he puts together a complete season and gives Brandonwood a great return on his 15th round investment.

178

Jacob

Manny – Playing for a contract next year. He’ll DH. He’ll hit. He’ll be Manny.

179

Charlie

Morrow – Best stuff of anybody not drafted in the first 8 rounds. He may lead MLB starters in K/9. I wanted him.

180

Trambo

C. Pena – See Mark Reynolds.


ROUND 16

181

Trambo

G. Sizemore – Shocker, he’s going to start the year on the DL. Maybe he’ll produce after he gets off. But, if he doesn’t run, he’s an OF who hits .260 with 20-25 HRs. Meh.

182

Charlie

D. Lee – He’s better than his numbers last year. I look for a bit of a rebound in Baltimore.

183

Jacob

J. Zimmerman – Just wait until Strasburg gets back next year. The one-two punch of he and Zimmerman is going to scare some folks because Zimmerman is good.

184

Brandonwood

Y. Escobar – He has more power than he showed last year and he plays in a good park to exploit it.

185

Walter

V. Wells – 31 bombs last year.

186

Me

Jhoulys Chacin – Struck out 138 in 114 IP last year, but walked 61. He had a 3.28 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Lower the walks and keep everything else the same, Jhoulys, and you could be my best pick in the draft.

187

Emerson

CJ Wilson – He’s the Opening Day starter and he struck out more a batter per inning last year.

188

Dr. Dunk

Beckett – He’s pretty good every other year and he sucked last year. He’ll win games regardless of his ERA, which should be a lot lower than the 5.78 he posted last year.

189

Thriller

R. Romero – He held his own in the AL East last year despite a late season slump. He’ll be fine, especially if he harnesses his control a little more.

190

Lobster

Jaime Gacia – Finally a rational pick.

191

Flynner

Aybar – He’ll run and hit close to .300. He might even score some runs. For a 16th round SS, what more do you want?

192

BobbyJ

H. Kendrick – He’s a 10/10 guy waiting to breakout into a 15/20 guy. And he hits .300.


ROUND 17

193

BobbyJ

Matusz – Along with Hell Boy, he’s maybe the best young pitcher in the AL east. Look at his numbers from August and September last year and get excited.

194

Flynner

E. Volquez – The talent/stuff is there.

195

Lobster

Cueto – Ditto from Volquez.

196

Thriller

I. Kennedy – He struck over 7 batters every 9 innings and had a 3.80 ERA last year, his first as a full time starter. I would expect much of the same for him this year.

197

Dr. Dunk

Craig Kimbrel – Eventually he’ll close for the Braves and the guy strikes out about everybody he faces and doesn’t walk.

198

Emerson

AJ Burnette – Like Nuke LaLouche, he has a (multi)million dollar arm, but a 2 cent head. At this point he is what he is. In the 17th round, this is a good value.

199

Me

D. Storen – The Nationals’ other first round pick in 2009. He has closer’s job and has the stuff to dominate.

200

Walter

G. Sanchez – This guy needs to hit a few more HRs to be a good fantasy 1B, but he can do it. Add that to a very good average and he looks like a great prospect.

201

Brandonwood

J. Vazquez – He’s just so much better when he doesn’t pitch in or for New York. Watch his velocity though.

202

Jacob

Lidge – See AJ Burnette.

203

Charlie

James Shields – Big game James. See Tim Hudson.

204

Trambo

Asdrubal Cabrera – In fairness, this was an auto pick as Trambo skipped the draft in favor of a bachelor party in New Orleans. Cabrera hits for a good average and is exceptionally average at everything else.


ROUND 18

205

Trambo

Nishioka – I have no idea about this guy. Google him and see that he was really good in Japan. So was Kaz Matsui.

206

Charlie

A. Torres – 16 bombs and 26 bags to go along with 84 runs in his first full season.

207

Jacob

J. Peavy – Age and injury concerns are his downside.

208

Brandonwood

C. Jones – Miraculously, Chipper is playing again this year. I wouldn’t expect more than 130 games out of him, but there’s no doubt he can be very productive in those games.

209

Walter

Brandon Lyon – He’s closing for now and there is value in that. His K rates are not very good and neither is his fastball. Matt Lindstrom closed some for the Astros last year and will push to close again.

210

Me

Freddie Freeman – Keeper league. Freeman is a top prospect and has a gig at 1B. I doubt he’ll hit for much power this year, but he’s just 21. Honestly, he probably wont ever crack my lineup this year, but his upside is enough to spend a draft pick on him.

211

Emerson

Kevin Slowey – What shitty name for a pitcher. He’s been moved to the pen and will not start the season as a Twins starter. This means he has very little value. Don’t draft him.

212

Dr. Dunk

K. Suzuki – With Ichiro and Kurt, Dr. D has cornered the market on major league Suzukis. He’s a catcher. He may hit 15 bombs.

213

Thriller

Jose Lopez – Not much to say about Jose. Don’t think Thriller meant to draft this guy. You shouldn’t either.

214

Lobster

Bronson Arroyo – I’ll bet everybody in the league owns this guy at least once this year. Right before they drop him.

215

Flynner

E. Encarnacion – Remember 2006 when he hit 26 bombs and we thought he’d be good? He’s not. But he did hit 21 bombs last year and he has an everyday job at 1B/DH this year, so this isn’t a bad speculative pick in the 18th round. He could conceivably hit 30 bombs.

216

BobbyJ

Travis Wood – Most of BobbyJ’s picks are auto picks by now too. He didn’t make it to the draft and participated over IM until being drug away by his nuts and leaving his team to the highest available player. Wood’s not a bad get though.


ROUND 19

217

BobbyJ

I. Stewart – Eventually he’ll be worth a shit.

218

Flynner

Neil Walker – In 426 at bats last year, he hit .296/12/66 playing a position, 2B, that he’d never played. Project that over a full season and you’re looking at around 17 HRs and 93 RBIs. At 2B. That is close to Pedroia’s value a mere 16 rounds later.

219

Lobster

M. Moreland – He has the 1B job in Texas, but he might give up some ABs to Mike Napoli and Chris Davis. He’s projected to get 500 ABs. He hit 9 HR and drove in 25 in 125 ABs last year. Give him 500 ABs with that production this year and he’s looking at 30 HRs and 86 RBI. I’ll take that value in round 19.

220

Thriller

Brandon Belt – Keeper league. This kid will rake whenever he’s called up.

221

Dr. Dunk

Jair Jurjens – See Tim Hudson only not as good in real life.

222

Emerson

Chris Coglan – Sophomore slump is over. He’s playing Center for the Marlins and may get 2B/3B eligibility as well. He should score a bunch of runs hitting in front of Hanley, Gabby Sanchez and Mike Stanton and 25 SBs is not out of the question.

223

Me

Travis Snider – Anybody with 30 HR potential and a job is worth a look in the 19th round.

224

Walter

Chase Headley – PetCo saps what little power he has. He does run a good bit for a 3B.

225

Brandonwood

Posada – A DH with C eligibility who doesn’t have to catch. He’s getting old, but he’s still productive.

226

Jacob

J. Damon – He won’t run as much, but he loves being in Tampa and that may rejuvenate him enough to be a good late round bargain.

227

Charlie

Polanco – Good average. Not much else.

228

Trambo

Wade Davis – Has a really high ceiling and more than held his own last year in the grueling AL East.


ROUND 20

229

Trambo

Lance Berkman – Auto pick special. I wouldn’t draft him.

230

Charlie

Joel Pinero – See Jair Jurrjens.

231

Jacob

John Lackey – He’s OK, but he pitches for the Sox, so he should get plenty of opportunities for a W.

232

Brandonwood

Julio Teheran – He’s 20 years old and is the best prospect in the Braves’ organization. He should get called up this year. Keeper league special. This kid will be good.

233

Walter

Hideki Matsui – All I can think of is the line from Knocked Up. "I got Matsui."

234

Me

Ike Davis – This was probably a very dumb pick for me. I needed speed and I already drafted Freeman. Davis has some pop and some upside, but I should have drafted Tabata, who I really like this year, with this pick. I thought I could get both. I screwed this up. Anyone want Ike Davis?

235

Emerson

D. Span – Great value pick right here. 100 Runs and 30 SBs is not out of the question.

236

Dr. Dunk

Jose Tabata – Like I just said, I really like Tabata this year. He is Denard Span with more upside. He could be a 10/35 guy with 100 runs.

237

Thriller

Aroldis Chapman – He can throw a baseball 106 miles per hour. Seriously. He won’t be behind Cordero for long. Great value, especially in a keeper league.

238

Lobster

Leo Nunez – He’s a closer with a job. There’s value in that. This was an auto pick as were many of Lobster’s late round picks. He, too, opted to miss the draft and skip the last few rounds.

239

Flynner

R. Ibanez – Hit .309 in the 2nd half last year. He has some pop, but he’s 38 years old. He could hit 20 bombs or he could hit 10.

240

BobbyJ

Kevin Gregg – He’s a closer with a job. For now.


ROUND 21

241

BobbyJ

L. Scott – See Travis Snider, only older and with less upside. He should have been drafted earlier. A nice auto draft pick up.

242

Flynner

Gavin Floyd – Over a 12 start stretch last year, Floyd posted a 1.19 ERA. If that kind of upside isn’t worth a 21st round draft pick, I don’t know what is.

243

Lobster

James Loney – Another auto pick. He’s the hitting version of Tim Hudson.

244

Thriller

Miguel Tejada – Thriller just couldn’t resist taking another Giant. Tejada can provide some decent late round value as a SS.

245

Dr. Dunk

David Freese – Depending on his playing time, Freese could be a good late round sleeper. He doesn’t him many HRs though.

246

Emerson

David Murphy – Murphy may play Center instead of Julio Borbon. He has 20/20 potential with 600 ABs, though he’s more likely to get around 400 ABs.

247

Me

Dexter Fowler – Remember how I said I needed speed? Fowler has speed to burn, but he doesn’t use it on the basepaths all that much. He has a very high upside and looks like he will win the CF job. He has 25-30 SB potential, but I may need to look elsewhere (Michael Brantley?) for stolen bases.

248

Walter

Randy Wolf – A 3.23 ERA in 2009. A 4.17 ERA in 2010. He turns 34 this year, so I think the 4.17 ERA is what we can expect. Still, not a bad option in the 21st round.

249

Brandonwood

Carlos Zambrano – See AJ Burnette. A lot of upside if he can get his shit together. A 1.41 ERA in his last 11 starts shows that he’s still got it.

250

Jacob

Coco Crisp – He has 40 SB potential. I should have taken him instead of Fowler. He could also hit 15 bombs, but 10 is more likely.

251

Charlie

Garret Jones – He hit under .200 in the second half, but hit 21 HRs (19 after opening day). He’s fighting for ABs too. Proceed with caution.

252

Trambo

Jim Thome – Still has plenty of pop in that old bat.


ROUND 22

253

Trambo

F. Rodney – He’s the closer for now.

254

Charlie

Kuo – If Broxton fails, it’s Kuo’s job.

255

Jacob

Daniel Bard – A nice handcuff for Papelbon. This guy is filthy.

256

Brandonwood

Marco Scutaro – Brandonwood will drop him soon.

257

Walter

Johan Santana – Could provide some good value in the 2nd half of the season, assuming the Mets let him pitch. If you’re patient enough to keep him in your DL spot, a late round draft and stash is not a terrible idea.

258

Me

Michael Pineda – This kid is really good and he’s going to be the M’s 5th starter. He will provide some really good starts and probably some bad ones. For such a great fastball, he also has good control. If he can work out a couple of off speed compliments to his fastball, he could really provide some value. He is a keeper league special.

259

Emerson

Danny Valencia – Modest power, but he’s a .300 hitter at 3B.

260

Dr. Dunk

Ryan Raburn – He hit .315 with 13 jacks over the last 2 months of the season. He has legit power. He probably won’t get 600 ABs, but could hit 20 bombs in 400.

261

Thriller

Scott Rolen – Unlikely to repeat his 2010 performance given his age, but he’s a good backup 3B who will be available late in drafts.

262

Lobster

Brandon League – David Aardsma has a bad hip, so League will be closing for the M’s to start the season.

263

Flynner

Franklin Gutierrez – It’s too bad we don’t measure defense in fantasy baseball because Gutierrez would be an all star. He has 20/20 type of upside though.

264

BobbyJ

David Aardsma – Won’t be the opening day closer for the M’s, but will get his shot if and when his hip gets fully healed.


ROUND 23

265

BobbyJ

Austin Jackson – No player in the game had a higher BABIP than Jackson, making his .293 average a bit of an aberration. Don’t expect that kind of average from him this year. He strikes out all the time. He does have legit speed though, so 30 SBs is a possibility.

266

Flynner

Octavio Dotel – He’ll start the year on the DL and is behind Francisco for the Jays’ closer duties. He’ll get dropped.

267

Lobster

Matt Joyce – He’ll get some ABs in the Rays’ outfield. He has some pop in his bat, so if he can get enough ABs, 20 HRs is not out of the question.

268

Thriller

Freddy Sanchez – He’s a Giant, so Thriller drafted him.

269

Dr. Dunk

Juan Uribe – He plays everywhere and he hits bombs. He doesn’t hit for much average, but his versatility is very valuable, especially in the late rounds.

270

Emerson

Ty Wiggington – See Juan Uribe, only with fewer ABs.

271

Me

Joel Hanrahan – He’s a closer with a job and he strikes out a lot of people when he’s on the mound. If he blows up and loses his job to Evan Meek, I’ll drop him. If he takes the closer job and runs with it, I got a steal of pick and maybe a nice piece of trade bait, assuming Storen is as good as advertised.

272

Walter

Johnny Venters – He’ll get some saves and won’t hurt you if he’s not closing full time.

273

Brandonwood

Anibal Sanchez – For late round picks, Sanchez is a good option. He has very good upside, though he needs to cut down on his walks.

274

Jacob

Stephen Strasburg – He’s a borderline first round pick when healthy. Stash and keep keeper league special.

275

Charlie

Ryan Theriot – He’ll steal some bases and maybe score some runs. He needs to work on taking walks, though.

276

Trambo

Jorge De La Rosa – He can miss bats with both strikes and balls. As late round fliers go, he’s a good one. Pretty high upside, but expect some rough outings from him.

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