Thursday, March 31, 2011

Chronicling a Fantasy Baseball Season, Part III: The Season, Week 1 Preview

Happy Opening Day. Week 1 runs from March 31 through April 10. It will pit my Explosive Renteria’s against Charlie’s Big Time Timmy Jim’s. Brandonwood’s Purple Tigers take on Flynner’s Action Jacksons. BobbyJ’s Rupert Mundy’s will battle Emerson and his Wuertz Case Scenarios. Jacob’s Tacoby Bellsburys will face Walter’s Haveyouseenmywieners. Trambo’s Carry on Heyward Sons are up against Dr. Dunk’s Gangtsas. And Lobster’s Lobsters will contend with Thriller’s Let Timmy Smokes.

Let me preface my preview by saying that it is way too early in the year to get an accurate gauge of things. Mike Stanton might be a bust, or he might be the real deal. It’s too early to tell. And anybody can have a good week. Magglio Ordonez might hit a couple of balls out of the park this week and actually contribute in a category other than average. If I actually knew what was going to happen, I can assure you that I would play the lottery with confidence. I can’t tell what’s going to happen though. I can just guess.

Here is a preview of the matchups:

Pos.

Explosive Renteria

Big Time Timmy Jim

C

Wieters

Soto

1b

Fielder

A. Gonzales

2b

Pedroia

Phillips

3b

Bautista

M. Young

SS

S. Drew/Aviles*

Alexei Ramirez

OF

Cargo

J. Upton

OF

Pence

B.J. Upton

OF

Abreu

A. Torres

UTIL

Lind

Vlad

UTIL

Snider

D. Lee

SP

Johnson

Halladay

SP

Scherzer

Billingsley

SP

Marcum

Garza

RP

Marmol

Perez

RP

Storen

Cordero

P

Hellickson

Shields

P

Sanchez

Kuo

P

Chacin

Edwin Jackson

Let me start off by saying that I was warned about playing the Drew brothers (Stephen and J.D.). They are fragile. It looks like Stephen, my SS, may go on the DL soon, so I picked up Mike Aviles to fill in beginning on April 4. I won’t get anything for the first four days from SS. Grow a pair Stephen. Toughen up.

This makes it even more important that my other position players get off to a good start. By the looks of things, I think Charlie will win steals. Average and OPS will be close I think. I think I’ll take HRs and hopefully RBIs, but who knows. Hitting should be close.

If Scherzer can be the guy he was the second half of last year, I think I can win the pitching battle. I like my bottom 3 better than his.

Pos.

Purple Tigers

Action Jacksons

C

Posada

Mauer

1b

Butler

Votto

2b

Cano

N. Walker

3b

Zimmerman

Beltre

SS

Reyes

Furcal

OF

Bruce

Heyward

OF

D. Young

Stanton

OF

Cuddyer

Stubbs

UTIL

Huff

Roberts

UTIL

Figgins

Ibanez

SP

Kershaw

Carpenter

SP

Ubaldo

Lewis

SP

Nolasco

Bumgardner

RP

N. Feliz

Soria

RP

Putz

Valverde

P

Vazquez

Kuroda

P

Zambrano

Volquez

P

A. Sanchez

Floyd

Both teams have some early question marks with their pitching, but I like Brandonwood’s top 2 much more than Flynner’s. If Volqeuz can return to his pre-Tommy John form, he’ll be money in the back half of Flynner’s rotation, though.

Both teams have speedsters in their UTIL spots, so SBs should be interesting. I think the Action Jacksons have more star power at the plate, but the Tigers are solid everywhere on the field. I give the advantage to Flynner at the dish under the assumption that his young guns (Stanton and Heyward) produce according to their upside.

Pos.

Rupert Mundy

Wuertz Case Scenario

C

Posey

VMart

1b

Pujols

Morneau

2b

A. Hill

Espinosa*

3b

Aramis Ramirez

Alvarez

SS

Rollins

Tulo

OF

Rasmus

Kemp

OF

Hunter

Markakis

OF

Jackson

Beltran

UTIL

Teixeira

Carlos Lee

UTIL

Scott

Span

SP

King Felix

Hamels

SP

Price

Hudson

SP

Dempster

CJ Wilson

RP

Bailey (DL)

Bell

RP

Gregg

Thornton

P

Hughes

AJ Burnette

P

Axford

Tim Stauffer*

P

Aardsma (DL)

E. Santana

Emerson has revamped his staff with additions of Stauffer and Santana and he’s picked up a rookie sleeper to play 2b. Looking at the matchup, I like BobbyJ’s chances. He’ll put up solid numbers despite starting two players on the DL. Emerson should put up some good numbers, but Tulo is a notorious slow starter and may not give him the Tulo edge right off the bat.

Pos.

Tacoby Bellsbury

Haveyouseenmywiener

C

Napoli

Montero

1b

Dunn

LaRoche

2b

Kinsler

Weeks

3b

Longo

Headley

SS

Castro

Desmond

OF

Ellsbury

Crawford

OF

Manny

Bourn

OF

Damon

Pierre

UTIL

Holliday

McGehee

UTIL

Victorino

Matsui

SP

Weaver

Lee

SP

Hudson

CC

SP

Zimmerman

Wolf

RP

Pap

Venters

RP

Bard

Rivera

P

Oswalt

P

Lyon

P

Johan Santana

Like I said, Walter has never played fantasy baseball before. He’s starting Johan, who won’t pitch until July at the earliest, thus letting Jacob off the hook for not putting in 3 Pitchers. Walter should win the counting numbers on the mound.

Walter also left Youkilis on his bench in favor of Matsui. Wow. Nevertheless, he’s going up against the oldest outfield in the league. By far. One thing is certain, Walter will win steals despite playing against Jacoby Ellsbury.

Pos.

Carry On Heyward Son

Gangstas

C

Santana

Suzuki

1b

Pena

Konerko

2b

Nishioka

Beckham

3b

Wright

Prado

SS

A. Cabrera

Hanley

OF

Hamilton

Cruz

OF

McCutcheon

Choo

OF

Granderson

Ichiro

UTIL

Swisher

C. Young

UTIL

Thome

A. Jones

SP

Lester

Verlander

SP

Liriano

Hanson

SP

Gallardo

Gonzales

RP

K Rod

Francisco (DL)

RP

Broxton

Kimbrel

P

Anderson

Wandy

P

Myers

Nathan

P

Rodney

Beckett

Trambo opts for an extra closer to try and sure up his saves. Francisco is on the DL and Jurrjens is on Dr. Dunk’s bench. Trambo’s top 3 pitchers are as good as anyone’s. Advantage on the hill goes to Trambo.

I love Ganstas’ lineup. He is solid 1-10, Kurt Suzuki notwithstanding. But Suzuki is a decent Catcher. I like Dunk at the plate.

This may be the best numbers matchup of the week.

Pos.

The Lobster

Let Timmy Smoke

C

McCann

Buck

1b

M. Cabrera

Howard

2b

Uggla

K. Johnson

3b

A Rod

Sandoval

SS

Andrus

Jeter

OF

Ethier

Braun

OF

Pagan

Werth

OF

Magglio

Gardner

UTIL

C. Ruiz

Reynolds

UTIL

Infante*

Rolen

SP

Cain

Lincecum

SP

Bucholtz

Haren

SP

Beurhle

Lilly

RP

Soriano

Street

RP

Franklin

Chapman

P

Garcia

Cahill

P

Arroyo

Romero

P

Nunez

Kennedy

Rather than dropping Helton, Lobster opted to drop a good young bat in Mitch Moreland for Omar Infante. Picking up Infante was a good call. Dropping Moreland was not his best option on a team full of droppable options. Lobster has a good infield, but I’m not impressed after that. That said, Thriller’s infield has a lot of question marks. His outfield, though is really good. The addition of Rolen to his final UTIL spot is questionable. I think Thriller’s outfield and his pitching (which will be sneaky good) will carry him to the W this week.

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