Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Fantasy Baseball 2011, Top 200 (222) Pitchers

Let's start with a simple truth about fantasy baseball. Hitters are more valuable than Pitchers. You typically have more of them and they can score points for you in each category. Pitchers, not so much. Barring the completely unforeseen, a starting pitcher isn't going to get you any saves. He's just not. A relief pitcher isn't going to get you enough wins to count on. He's just not. The very nature of their job makes pitchers more likely to get injured and thus replaced (See, Adam Wainwright, and, as of this writing, Andrew Bailey). Hitters are, as a group, simply more valuable.

Now let's tackle another truth about fantasy baseball. Ranking pitchers is more difficult than ranking hitters. Some middle reliever or set up man can help you out in WHIP and ERA, but won't contribute much in any other category. That said, pitching is a very key component to winning your fantasy baseball league and you always need good pitching.

In most leagues, you're going to play 5-6 starting pitchers and 2-3 relief pitchers. You'll have 1-2 on your bench, more depending on your fantasy baseball philosophy (more on this later). Thus, in a 12 team league the player pool for pitchers is about 125 deep (around 95 starters and around 24 relievers). Now, because many starting pitchers don't come close to some relievers in WHIP and ERA because they pitch so many more innings, I am giving you the top 200 pitchers so that you can tailor your team according to its needs.

The ranking system is much like that which I use for ranking hitters. Ranking wins is simple. I project a pitcher's win total and assign the top performer in the category a value of 7; 1-5 are assigned a 6; 6-25 are assigned a 5; 26-50 are assigned a 5; 51-75 are assigned a 4; 76-100 are assigned a 3; 101-125 are assigned a 2; 126-150 are assigned a 1; everyone else gets a 0. Same goes for K's (more on this in a minute as well).

Ranking saves is fairly easy, too. The top performer gets a 7; 2-3 gets a 6; 4-8 get a 5; 9-16 get a 4; 17-24 get a 3; 25-32 get a 2; 33-40 get a 1; everyone else gets a zero. The reason I rank the top 40 closers when there are only 30 teams is that some teams, for instance this year's Tampa Bay Rays will use a closer by committee strategy, and because closers come and go all the time.

ERA and WHIP are more difficult. I rank all 345 players who might pitch meaningful innings this year. I give the top two performers a 7 and the top starting pitcher a 7. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 20 more pitchers get a 6. This includes relievers and starters. Then, each subsequent tier is composed of about 69 players, depending on ties. Once all is said and done and everyone has a value in each category, I add up the total values and rank the pitchers.

Now, this ranking system is for drafting purposes only. Mid season call-ups happen every year and you have to keep a close eye on them. For instance, when the Braves call up Julio Teheran, you'll want to add the numbers he'll bring with him. He just turned 20 years old, but has a mid 90s fastball and, by all accounts, a great change up. He's pretty much universally renowned as the best pitching prospect in the game. You also need to keep an eye on who is winning the positional battles in the Spring. For instance, Michael Pineda, of the Seattle Mariners, is ranked 188 right now. But, if he wins the M's 5th starter role, his value goes up in wins and K's and so does his ranking.

Here are my top 222 (top 200 with ties included) pitchers for this year based on projections from www.rotowire.com.

Rank

Last Name

First Name

Team

W

K

ERA

WHIP

S

Total

1

Halladay

Roy

PHI

6

5

7

6

0

24

2

Lester

Jon

BOS

7

6

5

5

0

23

3

Lincecum

Tim

SF

6

7

5

5

0

23

4

Hernandez

Felix

SEA

5

6

5

6

0

22

5

Lee

Cliff

PHI

6

5

5

6

0

22

6

Johnson

Josh

FLA

5

5

6

5

0

21

7

Kershaw

Clayton

LA

5

6

5

5

0

21

8

Latos

Mat

SD

5

5

5

6

0

21

9

Marcum

Shaun

MIL

5

5

5

6

0

21

10

Cain

Matt

SF

5

4

5

6

0

20

11

Greinke

Zack

MIL

5

5

5

5

0

20

12

Hamels

Cole

PHI

5

5

5

5

0

20

13

Hudson

Tim

ATL

5

5

5

5

0

20

14

Jimenez

Ubaldo

COL

5

5

5

5

0

20

15

Price

David

TB

5

5

5

5

0

20

16

Sabathia

CC

NY-A

6

5

4

5

0

20

17

Verlander

Justin

DET

5

6

4

5

0

20

18

Haren

Dan

ANA

5

5

4

5

0

19

19

Rodriguez

Wandy

HOU

4

5

5

5

0

19

20

Scherzer

Max

DET

5

5

4

5

0

19

21

Weaver

Jered

ANA

5

5

4

5

0

19

22

Marmol

Carlos

CHI-N

0

2

5

5

6

18

23

Feliz

Neftali

TEX

0

0

6

7

5

18

24

Soria

Joakim

KC

0

0

7

6

5

18

25

Buchholz

Clay

BOS

5

3

5

5

0

18

26

Burnett

A.J.

NY-A

3

4

6

5

0

18

27

Carpenter

Chris

STL

5

4

4

5

0

18

28

Danks

John

CHI-A

5

4

4

5

0

18

29

Hanson

Tommy

ATL

4

4

5

5

0

18

30

Lilly

Ted

LA

3

4

4

7

0

18

31

Liriano

Francisco

MIN

5

5

4

4

0

18

32

Oswalt

Roy

PHI

5

4

4

5

0

18

33

Bell

Heath

SD

0

0

6

5

6

17

34

Rivera

Mariano

NY-A

0

0

6

6

5

17

35

Perez

Rafael

CLE

0

0

6

6

5

17

36

Beckett

Josh

BOS

5

4

3

5

0

17

37

Gallardo

Yovani

MIL

5

5

4

3

0

17

38

Garza

Matt

CHI-N

4

4

4

5

0

17

39

Lewis

Colby

TEX

4

5

4

4

0

17

40

Romero

Ricky

TOR

5

4

4

4

0

17

41

Sanchez

Anibal

FLA

4

5

4

4

0

17

42

Wilson

C.J.

TEX

3

4

5

5

0

17

43

Lidge

Brad

PHI

0

0

5

6

5

16

44

Anderson

Brett

OAK

3

3

5

5

0

16

45

Billingsley

Chad

LA

4

4

4

4

0

16

46

Cahill

Trevor

OAK

5

2

4

5

0

16

47

Gonzalez

Gio

OAK

4

4

4

4

0

16

48

Hughes

Philip

NY-A

5

3

4

4

0

16

49

Kennedy

Ian

AZ

3

4

4

5

0

16

50

Nolasco

Ricky

FLA

4

4

3

5

0

16

51

Bailey

Andrew

CIN

0

0

6

6

3

15

52

Street

Huston

COL

0

0

4

6

5

15

53

Nathan

Joe

MIN

0

0

5

6

4

15

54

Putz

J.J.

AZ

0

0

5

6

4

15

55

Dempster

Ryan

CHI-N

4

5

3

3

0

15

56

Hudson

Dan

AZ

3

2

5

5

0

15

57

Lackey

John

BOS

5

4

3

3

0

15

58

Santana

Ervin

ANA

4

4

3

4

0

15

59

Vazquez

Javier

FLA

4

4

3

4

0

15

60

Wood

Travis

CIN

3

3

4

5

0

15

61

Wilson

Brian

SF

0

0

3

4

7

14

62

Papelbon

Jonathan

BOS

0

0

4

5

5

14

63

Franklin

Ryan

STL

0

0

5

5

4

14

64

Arroyo

Bronson

CIN

5

2

3

4

0

14

65

De La Rosa

Jorge

COL

4

4

3

3

0

14

66

Hellickson

Jeremy

TB

3

3

4

4

0

14

67

Stauffer

Tim

SD

3

1

5

5

0

14

68

Broxton

Jonathan

LA

0

0

4

4

5

13

69

Axford

John

MIL

0

0

5

4

4

13

70

Lyon

Brandon

HOU

0

0

5

4

4

13

71

Hanrahan

Joel

PIT

0

0

5

5

3

13

72

Valverde

Jose

DET

0

0

5

5

3

13

73

Thornton

Matt

CHI-A

0

0

5

6

2

13

74

Chacin

Jhoulys

COL

2

4

4

3

0

13

75

Davis

Wade

TB

4

2

3

4

0

13

76

Floyd

Gavin

CHI-A

3

3

3

4

0

13

77

Jackson

Edwin

CHI-A

3

4

3

3

0

13

78

Kuo

Hong-Chih

LA

0

0

6

7

0

13

79

Kuroda

Hiroki

LA

2

2

4

5

0

13

80

Matusz

Brian

BAL

3

3

3

4

0

13

81

McDonald

James

PIT

3

5

3

2

0

13

82

Morrow

Brandon

TOR

3

5

2

3

0

13

83

Norris

Bud

HOU

4

4

2

3

0

13

84

Sanchez

Jonathan

SF

3

3

4

3

0

13

85

Zambrano

Carlos

CHI-N

4

3

4

2

0

13

86

Rodriguez

Francisco

NY-N

0

0

4

4

4

12

87

Nunez

Leo

FLA

0

0

4

5

3

12

88

Francisco

Frank

TOR

0

0

4

5

3

12

89

McGee

Jacob

TB

0

0

5

5

2

12

90

Venters

Jonny

ATL

0

0

6

4

2

12

91

Kimbrel

Craig

ATL

0

0

6

4

2

12

92

Sale

Chris

CHI-A

0

0

6

4

2

12

93

Storen

Drew

WAS

0

0

5

5

2

12

94

Breslow

Craig

OAK

0

0

5

6

1

12

95

Benoit

Joaquin

DET

0

0

5

6

1

12

96

Meek

Evan

PIT

0

0

6

5

1

12

97

Adams

Mike

SD

0

0

7

5

0

12

98

Bard

Dan

BOS

0

0

6

6

0

12

99

Carrasco

Carlos

CLE

2

3

4

3

0

12

100

Downs

Scott

ANA

0

0

6

6

0

12

101

Garcia

Jaime

STL

3

3

4

2

0

12

102

Guthrie

Jeremy

BAL

3

2

3

4

0

12

103

Hernandez

Livan

WAS

1

1

5

5

0

12

104

Holland

Derek

TEX

3

3

3

3

0

12

105

Lowe

Derek

ATL

5

2

3

2

0

12

106

Madson

Ryan

PHI

1

0

5

6

0

12

107

Motte

Jason

STL

0

0

6

6

0

12

108

Myers

Brett

HOU

2

4

3

3

0

12

109

Niese

Jonathon

NY-N

4

3

3

2

0

12

110

Pavano

Carl

MIN

4

2

2

4

0

12

111

Richard

Clayton

SD

4

3

3

2

0

12

112

Romo

Sergio

SF

0

0

6

6

0

12

113

Shields

James

TB

4

4

2

2

0

12

114

Slowey

Kevin

MIN

3

1

3

5

0

12

115

Soriano

Rafael

NY-A

1

0

5

6

0

12

116

League

Brandon

SEA

0

0

4

5

2

11

117

Balfour

Grant

OAK

0

0

5

5

1

11

118

Buehrle

Mark

CHI-A

4

1

3

3

0

11

119

Bumgarner

Madison

SF

2

2

4

3

0

11

120

Gregerson

Luke

SD

0

0

5

6

0

11

121

Guerrier

Matt

LA

0

0

5

6

0

11

122

Hammel

Jason

COL

3

3

2

3

0

11

123

Lopez

Wilton

HOU

0

0

6

5

0

11

124

Marshall

Sean

CHI-N

0

0

5

6

0

11

125

Ogando

Alexi

TEX

0

0

6

5

0

11

126

Pelfrey

Mike

NY-N

4

2

3

2

0

11

127

Peralta

Joel

TB

0

0

5

6

0

11

128

Uehara

Koji

BAL

0

0

5

6

0

11

129

Wheeler

Dan

BOS

0

0

5

6

0

11

130

Gregg

Kevin

BAL

0

0

3

4

3

10

131

Chapman

Aroldis

CIN

0

0

5

4

1

10

132

Capps

Matt

MIN

0

0

5

4

1

10

133

Betancourt

Rafael

COL

0

0

4

6

0

10

134

Braden

Dallas

OAK

2

1

3

4

0

10

135

Cecil

Brett

TOR

3

3

2

2

0

10

136

Chamberlain

Joba

NY-A

0

0

5

5

0

10

137

Dickey

R.A.

NY-N

1

1

4

4

0

10

138

Happ

J.A.

HOU

3

2

2

3

0

10

139

Harang

Aaron

SD

1

3

2

4

0

10

140

Loe

Kameron

MIL

0

0

5

5

0

10

141

McClellan

Kyle

STL

0

0

5

5

0

10

142

O'Day

Darren

TEX

0

0

5

5

0

10

143

Pineiro

Joel

ANA

3

0

3

4

0

10

144

Ramirez

Ramon

SF

0

0

6

4

0

10

145

Rhodes

Arthur

TEX

0

0

5

5

0

10

146

Vargas

Jason

SEA

2

2

3

3

0

10

147

Volquez

Edinson

CIN

3

3

3

1

0

10

148

Wells

Randy

CHI-N

2

2

3

3

0

10

149

Wuertz

Michael

OAK

0

0

5

5

0

10

150

Zimmermann

Jordan

WAS

2

2

2

4

0

10

151

Fuentes

Brian

OAK

0

0

4

4

1

9

152

Clippard

Tyler

WAS

0

0

4

4

1

9

153

Hensley

Clay

FLA

0

0

4

4

1

9

154

Blanton

Joe

PHI

2

3

2

2

0

9

155

Boggs

Mitchell

STL

0

0

4

5

0

9

156

Cueto

Johnny

CIN

2

2

2

3

0

9

157

Drabek

Kyle

TOR

1

1

4

3

0

9

158

Duensing

Brian

MIN

3

0

3

3

0

9

159

Frasor

Jason

TOR

0

0

5

4

0

9

160

Jeffress

Jeremy

KC

0

0

5

4

0

9

161

Jurrjens

Jair

ATL

3

1

2

3

0

9

162

Linebrink

Scott

ATL

0

0

4

5

0

9

163

Luebke

Cory

SD

0

1

4

4

0

9

164

Mazzaro

Vincent

KC

3

2

2

2

0

9

165

Mijares

Jose

MIN

0

0

5

4

0

9

166

Oliver

Andrew

DET

0

0

4

5

0

9

167

Resop

Chris

PIT

0

0

5

4

0

9

168

Saito

Takashi

MIL

0

0

5

4

0

9

169

Sanabia

Alex

FLA

0

0

4

5

0

9

170

Smith

Joseph

CLE

0

0

5

4

0

9

171

Tateyama

Yoshinori

TEX

0

0

4

5

0

9

172

Westbrook

Jake

STL

3

3

2

1

0

9

173

Cordero

Francisco

CIN

0

0

3

2

3

8

174

Aardsma

David

SEA

0

0

3

2

3

8

175

Affeldt

Jeremy

SF

0

0

5

3

0

8

176

Arrieta

Jake

BAL

3

1

2

2

0

8

177

Belisle

Matt

COL

0

0

3

5

0

8

178

Contreras

Jose

PHI

0

0

4

4

0

8

179

Doubront

Felix

BOS

0

0

4

4

0

8

180

Enright

Barry

AZ

1

0

3

4

0

8

181

Hochevar

Luke

KC

1

2

2

3

0

8

182

Hunter

Tommy

TEX

2

1

2

3

0

8

183

Masterson

Justin

CLE

1

3

2

2

0

8

184

Minor

Mike

ATL

2

3

1

2

0

8

185

Niemann

Jeff

TB

1

2

2

3

0

8

186

O'Flaherty

Eric

ATL

0

0

5

3

0

8

187

Peavy

Jake

CHI-A

0

1

3

4

0

8

188

Pineda

Michael

SEA

0

0

4

4

0

8

189

Porcello

Rick

DET

3

0

2

3

0

8

190

Purcey

David

TOR

0

0

4

4

0

8

191

Santos

Sergio

CHI-A

0

0

5

3

0

8

192

Tejeda

Robinson

KC

0

0

4

4

0

8

193

Volstad

Chris

FLA

2

1

2

3

0

8

194

Wolf

Randy

MIL

3

2

2

1

0

8

195

Ziegler

Brad

OAK

0

0

5

3

0

8

196

Jenks

Bobby

BOS

0

0

4

2

1

7

197

Bastardo

Antonio

PHI

0

0

3

4

0

7

198

Camp

Shawn

TOR

0

0

3

4

0

7

199

Casilla

Santiago

SF

0

0

4

3

0

7

200

Correia

Kevin

PIT

1

3

1

2

0

7

201

Demel

Sam

AZ

0

0

4

3

0

7

202

Farnsworth

Kyle

TB

0

0

3

4

0

7

203

Garland

Jon

LA

1

1

3

2

0

7

204

Gibson

Kyle

MIN

0

0

3

4

0

7

205

Gonzalez

Mike

BAL

0

0

4

3

0

7

206

Gutierrez

Juan

AZ

0

0

3

4

0

7

207

Herrmann

Frank

CLE

0

0

4

3

0

7

208

Howell

J.P.

TB

0

0

4

3

0

7

209

Kelley

Shawn

SEA

0

0

3

4

0

7

210

Masset

Nick

CIN

0

0

4

3

0

7

211

Matsuzaka

Daisuke

BOS

2

2

2

1

0

7

212

Melancon

Mark

HOU

0

0

4

3

0

7

213

Mujica

Edward

FLA

0

0

3

4

0

7

214

Ohlendorf

Ross

PIT

0

1

3

3

0

7

215

Perry

Ryan

DET

0

0

4

3

0

7

216

Saunders

Joe

AZ

1

2

2

2

0

7

217

Slama

Anthony

MIN

0

0

4

3

0

7

218

Takahashi

Hisanori

ANA

0

0

3

4

0

7

219

Talbot

Mitch

CLE

3

1

2

1

0

7

220

Webb

Ryan

FLA

0

0

5

2

0

7

221

Wood

Kerry

CHI-N

0

0

4

3

0

7

222

Zito

Barry

SF

1

3

2

1

0

7

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